浅谈加强党内监督的几种途径

本文以从严治党、加强党风廉政建设的角度出发,提出加强党内监督的三个途径,以便抓好党员干部廉洁自律,遏制腐败现象,建立一整套行之有效的党内监督机制,用制度来保证党内监督的有效开展。     

基层环境监察工作的现状及措施

基层环境监察工作是环境保护工作的重要环节。本文针对基层环境监察工作的现状和存在的主要问题进行了简要分析,根据部分地区基层环境监察部门的成功经验,并就如何提高基层环境监察水平提出了一些具体措施和方法,对从事环境监察的人员有着一定的参考价值和借鉴意义。     

吉林省农业病虫害发生规律与防治效果的定量分析

本文以定量分析为主要手段，详细研究了吉林省农业病虫害发生的时间过程规律和空间分布规律，深入探讨了环境因子对农业病虫害的影响，综合评价了病虫害防治工作的效果。     

学习率有限监督调整BP网络在水质评价中的应用

以地表水环境质量标准基本项目标准限值为依据,随机生成标准样本和检测样本,采用学习率有限监督调整BP网络建立水质评价模型。完成网络训练的模型对检测样本进行检验评价,检验结果表明,该人工神经网络水质评价模型具有较高的精度,同时,可以避免人为主观因素对水质评价的影响,保证了水质鉴定的科学性和公正性。     

Analysis of motorcycle accidents using association rule mining-based framework with parameter optimization and GIS technology

IntroductionAnalyzing key factors of motorcycle accidents is an effective method to reduce fatalities and improve road safety. Association Rule Mining (ARM) is an efficient data mining method to identify critical factors associated with injury severity. However, the existing studies have some limitations in applying ARM: (a) Most studies determined parameter thresholds of ARM subjectively, which lacks objectiveness and efficiency; (b) Most studies only listed rules with high parameter thresholds, while lacking in-depth analysis of multiple-item rules. Besides, the existing studies seldom conducted a spatial analysis of motorcycle accidents, which can provide intuitive suggestions for policymakers. Method: To address these limitations, this study proposes an ARM-based framework to identify critical factors related to motorcycle injury severity. A method for parameter optimization is proposed to objectively determine parameter thresholds in ARM. A method of factor extraction is proposed to identify individual key factors from 2-item rules and boosting factors from multiple-item rules. Geographic information system (GIS) is adopted to explore the spatial relationship between key factors and motorcycle injury severity. Results and conclusions: The framework is applied to a case study of motorcycle accidents in Victoria, Australia. Fifteen attributes are selected after data preprocessing. 0.03 and 0.7 are determined as the best thresholds of support and confidence in ARM. Five individual key factors and four boosting factors are identified to be related to fatal injury. Spatial analysis is conducted by GIS to present hot spots of motorcycle accidents. The proposed framework has been validated to have better performance on parameter optimization and rule analysis in ARM. Practical applications: The hot spots of motorcycle accidents related to fatal factors are presented in GIS maps. Policymakers can refer to those maps straightforwardly when decision making. This framework can be applied to various kinds of traffic accidents to improve the performance of severity analysis.     

The strategic use of innovation to influence regulatory standards

This paper investigates the welfare consequences of strategic behavior by firms to affect the amount of environmental regulation they face. Environmental regulation often attempts to force an industry to develop cleaner technology, but the regulator may have no means to commit to a specific standard. This lack of regulatory commitment induces firms to choose innovation strategically. It is well-known that firms have incentives to suppress innovation to induce the regulator to ratchet down the standard, and this strategic behavior lowers welfare. This paper explores a countervailing incentive. In oligopoly settings, firms have heightened incentives to innovate so as to increase regulation and raise rivals costs. In equilibrium, the incentive to raise rivals cost can mitigate the welfare loss arising from no regulatory commitment. Also, a regulator who is unable to commit ex ante to the stringency of a regulatory standard can induce more clean technology than a regulator with a commitment mechanism.     

环境规划参与“多规合一”多种模式的思考与建议

基于对环境规划参与"多规合一"不同模式的归纳总结与评价,提出环境规划深入参与"多规合一"的模式建议。研究表明:环境规划"点状式"参与,是环境规划参与"多规合一"的主要问题。"多规合一"需理顺各规划的职责与定位,环境规划应系统确立环境保护的底线,多方位参与"多规合一"进程。     

Building future scenarios and uncovering persisting challenges of participatory forest management in Chilimo Forest, Central Ethiopia

We examined the changes in forest status and people's livelihoods through building future scenarios for Chilimo Forest in Central Ethiopia where participatory forest management (PFM) is being implemented. Participatory methods were employed to collect data, and a dynamic modeling technique was applied to explore trends over time. By integrating the more quantitative model outputs with qualitative insights, information on forests and livelihoods was summarized and returned to users, both to inform them and get feedback. A scenario of open access without PFM provides higher income benefits in the short term but not over the longer term, as compared to a scenario with PFM. Follow up meetings were organized with national decision makers to explore the possibility of new provisions in the national forest proclamation related to joint community-state ownership of forests. Project implementers must constantly work towards improving short term incentives from PFM, as these may be insufficient to garner support for PFM. Other necessary elements for PFM to succeed include: ensuring active participation of the communities in the process; and, clarifying and harmonizing the rules and regulations at different levels.     

Traffic rules and traffic safety

In the present paper the effects of traffic rules on driver behaviour and on traffic safety are discussed. The discussion is mainly based on research conerning driver’s use of safety equipment, their speed adjustment and drunken driving with respect to safety potential, effects of the rules, and effects of enforcement on driver behaviour. Factors influencing drivers’ decisions to comply with rules are also considered. It is concluded that only rules that are possible to enforce should be implemented and that police surveillance should be visible to the drivers. Also, the traffic system should be seen as a social system where drivers are interacting with other drivers and road users. Rules and regulations are important to help the actors of the system to function in a safe and effective way.     

城市的安全发展与地下空间利用

随着城市人口的快速增长 ,中国的城市发展面临着巨大挑战。笔者具体分析了我国城市发展所面临的诸多问题即占用大量土地资源、建筑空间拥挤、交通堵塞、环境污染严重、城市综合防灾能力薄弱等等 ;通过借鉴发达国家在解决城市问题方面的成功经验和历史教训 ,提出大力发展和利用地下空间是解决城市问题的最有效途径 ;并在实践的基础上提出地下空间规划的思路和原则。上述分析和设想愿与同行共酌探讨。